Stocks

Over the past five sessions, the Indian equity markets headed nowhere and continued consolidating in a defined range. In the previous weekly note, it was categorically expected that the markets might stay devoid of any directional bias unless they either take out the upper edge or violate the lower edge of the consolidation zone. In line with the analysis, the Nifty oscillated in a 401.90-point range over the past five days. The volatility also retraced; the India Vix came off by 6.95% to 16.08 on a weekly basis. While staying absolutely range-bound, the headline index Nifty 50 closed with a minor weekly loss of 102.45 points (-0.41%).

As we step into the new week, the markets find themselves in a defined trading range, more toward the edge of the pattern support on the weekly chart. The Nifty appears to continue being in a well-defined trading range between 25100 and 24500 levels. This also implies that a directional trend would emerge only if the Nifty takes out 25100 convincingly or ends up violating the 24500 level. Unless either of these two things happens, the markets will remain devoid of directional bias and will continue staying in this defined range. The present technical structure makes it even more important to maintain a steadfast focus on protecting profits at higher levels and the rotation of sectors where a likely leadership change is visible.

The coming week is expected to see the levels of 25000 and 25175 acting as resistance points. The supports come in at 24500 and 24380 levels.

The weekly RSI is at 59.02; it stays neutral and does not show any divergence against the price. The weekly MACD is bullish and remains above its signal line.

The pattern analysis shows that after forming the most recent swing high at 25116, the Nifty has resisted this level for two subsequent weeks. This makes the level of 25100-25150 an important hurdle for the Nifty. Secondly, the Index has closed just at the support of an upward rising trendline; if this gets violated, the markets may see some more corrective retracement. Overall, the zone of 24500-24600 remains a crucial support area for the markets.

While the Nifty stays in the 25100-24500 zone and consolidates, focusing on protecting profits at higher levels would be wise. While the market keeps its underlying trend intact, it continues to remain prone to some extended corrective retracement until the levels of 25100 are taken out on the upside convincingly. During this phase, it makes more sense to keep leveraged exposures at modest levels and stay highly selective in making fresh purchases. While limiting the purchases to favorably rotating sectors, a cautious outlook is recommended for the coming week.

Sector Analysis for the coming week

In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks. 

Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty PSU Bank Index is the only Index inside the leading quadrant that continues to improve its relative momentum against the broader markets. The other sectors present inside the leading quadrant are PSE, Infrastructure, Consumption, and FMCG, and these groups show continued paring of relative momentum against the broader markets.

The Nifty Commodities and the Nifty Bank Index have rolled inside the weakening quadrant. The Financial Services and the Services sector Indices are also inside the weakening quadrant.

The Nifty Metal Index has rolled inside the lagging quadrant. It is likely to relatively underperform along with the Pharma Index which also continues to languish inside this quadrant. The IT Index is also inside the lagging quadrant, but is seen sharply improving its relative momentum against the broader markets.

The Realty, Media, Energy, Midcap 100, and Auto Indices are inside the improving quadrant. They are likely to continue improving their relative performance against the broader Nifty 500 Index.

Important Note: RRG™ charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.  

Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA

Consulting Technical Analyst

www.EquityResearch.asia | www.ChartWizard.ae

Discover the top 10 stock charts to watch this month with Grayson Roze and David Keller, CMT. From breakout strategies to moving average setups, the duo walk through technical analysis techniques using relative strength, momentum, and trend-following indicators.

In this video, viewers will also gain insight into key market trends and chart patterns that could directly impact your trading strategy. Whether you’re a short-term trader or a long-term investor, this breakdown will help you stay one step ahead.

This video originally premiered on May 30, 2025. Click on the above image to watch on our dedicated Grayson Roze page on StockCharts TV.

You can view previously recorded videos from Grayson at this link.

There’s no denying that the equity markets have taken on a decisively different look and feel in recent weeks.

We’ve compared the charts of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, as well as leading growth stocks like Nvidia, to an airplane experiencing a “power-on stall”. Basically, the primary uptrend has been paused, but it’s unclear whether we’ll resume the uptrend after a brief corrective period.

I stand by my previous comments that the 200-day moving average, as well as the price gap formed in early May, remains the most important “line in the sand” for this market. And, as long as the S&P 500 and other leading names remain above their 200-day moving averages, equities are still in decent shape.

One of the key features of this market off the early April has been the dominance of traditionally “offensive” sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary. But are these leading sectors maintaining their leadership role as we progress through the spring months into the summer?

Leading Sectors Off the April Low Starting to Falter

My Market Misbehavior LIVE ChartList includes a series of relative strength charts showing the performance of key sectors versus the S&P 500. When these lines are trending higher, the sector is outperforming the benchmark. Generally speaking, I’d prefer to own stocks where the relative strength line is trending higher, as that confirms I’m doing better than a passive investment strategy!

Only three sectors have outperformed the S&P 500 index over the last month: technology, industrials, and consumer discretionary. Notice how two of those sectors, technology and consumer discretionary, have been seeing a downturn in relative strength over the last week? It still may be early to declare a full leadership rotation, but this initial downturn in the relative performance could be a sign of further weakness to come.

Defensive Sectors Showing Early Signs of Strength

So if these leadership sectors are starting to slow down, which sectors are showing an improving relative strength? Our next chart shows the relative performance of the four traditionally defensive sectors, most of which have turned higher over the last two weeks.

Again, I’d hesitate to declare this a full and confirmed rotation, but the fact that defensive sectors are improving here suggests investors are beginning to reallocate a bit to more risk-off positions. Over the next few weeks, improvement in these defensive sectors could provide a clear validation to a “market in correction” thesis.

Relative Rotation Graphs Confirm Defensive Rotation

Of course, when we’re talking about sector rotation, I always want to bring up the Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) and benefit from Julius de Kempenaer’s innovative data visualization approach. First, let’s see how the daily RRG showed the 11 S&P 500 sectors back in early May.

We can see that the Leading quadrant includes those leading sectors, such as technology. In the Lagging quadrant, meanwhile, we’ll find pretty much everything else, including all four of the defensive sectors discussed above.

Now let’s fast forward to the current RRG and see how things have rotated.

Here, you’ll find health care, consumer staples, and other defensive sectors in the Improving quadrant. Technology, industrials, and consumer discretionary have now rotated down into the Weakening quadrant. So the RRG is showing at least an initial rotation away from the sectors that have been leading off the April market low.

One of the most important arguments from the bulls has been the dominance of offensive sectors over the last six weeks. But, as we’ve shown here today, the sector may be changing from a clearly bullish reading to a much more defensive warning sign for investors.

RR#6,

Dave

P.S. Ready to upgrade your investment process? Check out my free behavioral investing course!

David Keller, CMT

President and Chief Strategist

Sierra Alpha Research LLC

marketmisbehavior.com

https://www.youtube.com/c/MarketMisbehavior

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

Manage your stock portfolio like a pro! Learn stock portfolio management, trading strategy, and how to build stock watchlists like a professional investor with this insightful video from Grayson. He shares how to run your portfolio like a championship sports team—organizing stocks like players, keeping top performers in play, and tracking trade opportunities with precision.

This video originally premiered on May 30, 2025. Click on the above image to watch on our dedicated Grayson Roze page on StockCharts TV.

You can view previously recorded videos from Grayson at this link.

SIL Silver Miners

SIL was among the leaders yesterday and now is close to triggering this double-bottom bullish pattern. Staying above the 43-mark would target 47. That’s not a big move, but let’s remember that SIL is sporting bullish formations on its longer-term charts, too.

FIGURE 1. DAILY CHART OF GLOBAL X SILVER MINERS ETF (SIL).

SIL – Weekly

Firstly, the double-bottom pattern on this weekly log chart annotated in blue remains alive. This objective is up near 49.

Secondly, the area highlighted in green here is the same pattern pictured on the daily chart above. That area is sitting at the very top of a much bigger bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern that extends all the way back to 2021. Thus, if the short-term breakout works, it will trigger this one, as well. That target is in the mid-70s…

FIGURE 2. WEEKLY CHART OF GLOBAL X SILVER MINERS ETF (SIL).

SIL – Monthly

And that green pattern above is part of this MUCH larger, 13-year potential double bottom. We still have a while to go before this one is triggered, but it’s important to keep all of these in the back of our minds.

Anyone who trades or tracks SIL knows that short-term whipsaws are the norm. So, while these breakouts may not be clean, the bullish structures are clear. The bottom line is that if SIL continues to make higher highs and higher lows, the patterns will continue to work.

FIGURE 3. MONTHLY CHART OF GLOBAL X SILVER MINERS ETF (SIL).

USO Crude Oil

USO was among the leaders yesterday, but it’s still trying to bust through its 50-DMA, which has been the sticking point the last few weeks. If it can soon, USO could complete this potential bullish inverse H&S pattern. The upside target would be in the 77-78 range, and that would align with key short-term tops from the last year. First step, push above the 50-day line…

FIGURE 4. DAILY CHART OF US OIL FUND (USO).

NVDA

The obvious question every time NVDA rallies is whether it’s too late to buy.  To get a true sense of the stock’s technical prospects, we need to view it across different charts and time frames.

First, here’s a view of the bullish flag pattern we cited on Tuesday (along with TSLA, GOOGL and META). Given the preceding staircase-like advance, the starting point of the flagpole is subjective. We’re using the early May low given that the stock avoided filling a gap from a few days earlier.

Regardless, the measured move counts to the 161 zone, which would be a new all-time high.

FIGURE 5. DAILY CHART OF NVIDIA CORP. (NVDA).

This second one is a daily chart that extends all the way back to 2010 and shows times when breaking below or above the 200-DMA led to strong, extended moves for the stock. From this angle, the recent 200-day breach didn’t last that long at all, and now NVDA has the chance to once again follow through after breaking back above it over the last few weeks.

FIGURE 6. LONGER-TERM DAILY CHART OF NVIDIA CORP. (NVDA).

Here’s a weekly, log chart going back to the 2022 low. NVDA has leveraged three major pattern breakouts since then to power the astounding rally the last two-plus years. With the stock last having made a new high last October and being net flat since last July, an eventual push back above the 150-zone could prompt big pattern-breakout number four.

FIGURE 7. WEEKLY CHART OF NVIDIA CORP. (NVDA).

Lastly, here are the biggest breakouts on this monthly chart that goes back over two decades. Again, looking at it from this viewpoint makes the last 11 months appear like a very small digestive phase, especially compared to the other three on the chart. Thus, the first step will be seeing how well NVDA can hold the opening gap. That’s important for today, but much more important for the days and weeks to come.

FIGURE 8. MONTHLY CHART OF NVIDIA CORP. (NVDA).

Nuclear energy stocks are on a tear, and Oklo Inc. (OKLO), Cameco Corp. (CCJ), and NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) are leading the charge, fueled by presidential executive orders, investor hype, and hopes for a nuclear-powered future.

Is It Time to Go Nuclear?

These names bucked the trend on Wednesday, rising even as the major U.S. indexes fell. I found all three while running a P&F Double Top Breakout scan, with SMR also appearing in the New 52-Week Highs scan. But are these gains a sign of genuine investment opportunities, or is this high-risk subsector just radioactive for your portfolio? To analyze this, let’s break down their profiles and charts to see whether the “glow” here points to real promise—or simply masks a toxic risk.

Here’s a PerfCharts snapshot of all three stocks against the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), our broader market proxy.

FIGURE 1. PERFCHARTS OF SMR, OKLO, CCJ, AND SPY.

While CCJ steadily lagged behind the S&P 500 until this month, both OKLO and SMR began outperforming the broader market starting in mid-October of last year. Their relative performance to date is so strong that it appears almost unsustainable in the short term.

All three mid-cap stocks are also showing robust StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) scores—OKLO at 99.6, SMR at 99.3, and CCJ at 89.9 at the time of writing. While this can indicate technical strength, it can also signal irrational exuberance among retail investors.

Robust SCTR Scores but Divergent Fundamentals

Another thing to note is the notable difference in their fundamentals. SMR and OKLO have negative P/E ratios, suggesting that their surges are driven more by promise and speculation than by profits. CCJ, with a P/E ratio of 149, is raking in some profits, but may also be riding an overcrowded wave of hype.

Ultimately, while technical performance can sometimes lead to fundamental strength—or mask fundamental weakness—it’s worth taking a closer look at these leading names in the nuclear subsector to understand the opportunities and risks they present. Let’s break it down further by examining each stock’s technical picture and what it suggests about investor conviction.

OKLO: Testing Highs, Buying the Dip?

To start, here’s a daily chart of nuclear energy startup OKLO.

FIGURE 2. DAILY CHART OF OKLO. In contrast to the other two nuclear stocks, OKLO is potentially experiencing higher levels of accumulation.

OKLO recently tested its all-time high of $59 before pulling back. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows the stock was deep within overbought territory, hinting at caution. Still, what’s interesting is that OKLO’s Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL), plotted behind the price, remains strong. This suggests that even as the price retreats, buying pressure may still be present—hinting that investors might be looking to buy the dip rather than “sell the news.”

The key thing to watch now is how deep this retracement goes. If investors are still optimistic about OKLO’s fundamental outlook, you might see a bounce within the first two quadrants marked by the Quadrant Lines on the chart. Pay particular attention to the critical support range around the center line at $38, shown in the yellow-shaded area. If the price falls below this level, it could be a sign of weakness, suggesting the stock is more of a FOMO-driven trade than one backed by long-term conviction.

SMR: Hype or Healthy Pullback?

Next, we’ll shift over to a daily chart of SMR. Among the three, SMR is the only to notch a new all-time high. But does this signal the beginning of a new leg up, or the end of a surge that lacks substance?

FIGURE 3. DAILY CHART OF SMR. What happens next will show whether investors truly believe in the stock—or if the rally was driven by short-term hype.

SMR immediately declined after making a parabolic move to a new all-time high. As the RSI confirms, the stock was well-overbought. Now, it’s a matter of measuring the depth of the pullback.

I plotted a Fibonacci Retracement to highlight potential support levels. There are several zones of support from previous swing highs and a concentrated trading area between the 61.8% and 38.2% retracement levels. If investor confidence stays strong, expect a possible bounce between $21 and $24, marking the 61.8% and 50% Fib levels respectively. A deeper drop below the 61.8% level might still find support around $15, but that would also suggest that the rally was driven more by sentiment than strategic conviction.

CCJ: Underperforming Stock, Profitable Company

Lastly, let’s take a look at the most earnings-positive company among the three. Here’s a daily chart of CCJ.

FIGURE 4. DAILY CHART OF CCJ. The critical level to watch is the range between $50 – $52.

CCJ has a similar technical profile to OKLO and SMR—it’s overbought, and it tested its all-time high on a parabolic surge, leading to a pullback.

However, instead of measuring the various degrees of its potential retracements (using Fib or Quadrants), I’m focusing on the key range of $50–$52. Why? Because, in addition to marking a broad level that has acted as both support and resistance since October of last year, this range also shows a high concentration of trading activity, as indicated by the Volume-by-Price indicator.

If longer-term conviction holds, CCJ should bounce at this level. If not, expect the stock to decline further—although it may eventually find support at lower levels, it likely wouldn’t be worth chasing at that point.

At the Close

Nuclear energy stocks like OKLO, SMR, and CCJ have captured market attention, defying broader trends and flashing bullish technical patterns. But while momentum and investor enthusiasm are driving these moves, each stock also faces questions about sustainability and fundamentals.

Are we looking at a healthy dip—or is Wall Street just selling the news? To answer that question, keep an eye on the key technical levels outlined above. With these standout names in an emerging (and therefore highly uncertain) subsector, the technicals will likely reveal whether the market’s leaning toward conviction or just chasing the hype.

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

In this video, Joe analyzes which sectors to focus on when selecting new stocks. He demonstrates how to use the 18-period simple moving average (SMA) on monthly, weekly, and daily charts to identify the strongest stock patterns and the best timeframes to trade. He then provides chart analysis on the QQQ, IWM, and Bitcoin, before reviewing this week’s symbol requests submitted by viewers.

The video premiered on May 28, 2025. Click this link to watch on Joe’s dedicated page.

Archived videos from Joe are available at this link. Send symbol requests to stocktalk@stockcharts.com; you can also submit a request in the comments section below the video on YouTube. Symbol Requests can be sent in throughout the week prior to the next show.

In this must-see market update, Larry Williams returns with timely stock market analysis, trading insights, and macroeconomic forecasts. Discover what’s next for the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and inflation — and how it could impact top stocks like Tesla (TSLA), Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), and consumer staples (XLP).

This video originally premiered on May 27, 2025. Watch on StockCharts’ dedicated Larry Williams page!

Previously recorded videos from Larry are available at this link.

In this video, Chip Anderson, President of StockCharts, sits down with Tony for a conversation in the StockCharts studio! During this in-depth Q&A session, Chip and Tony explore the powerful features that make the OptionsPlay add-on a must-have for options traders using the StockCharts platform. They discuss the integration of the StockCharts Scanning Engine with OptionsPlay strategies—showcasing how this tool enhances your ability to find trade setups quickly and effectively.

This video premiered on May 23, 2025.

Get the latest stock market update with Mary Ellen McGonagle. Learn key downside signals, how to manage pullbacks, and which earnings reports could impact the market next week.

In this week’s episode, Mary Ellen reviews where the markets currently stand and what to watch for to signal further downside. She also highlights ways to combat inevitable pullbacks and shares the key earnings reports that are likely to move the markets in the upcoming week.

This video originally premiered May 23, 2025. You can watch it on our dedicated page for Mary Ellen’s videos.

New videos from Mary Ellen premiere weekly on Fridays. You can view all previously recorded episodes at this link.

If you’re looking for stocks to invest in, be sure to check out the MEM Edge Report! This report gives you detailed information on the top sectors, industries and stocks so you can make informed investment decisions.